Inside The Stock Market ...trends, cross-currents, and outlook
Looking For Earnings Disappointments.....Before They Hit The Fan
New Improved Potential Earnings Disappointments Screen: Inventory Growth Versus Sales Growth.
Cautious On Oil Stocks In The Short Term
Surprised that crude oil did not soar above $70. Price of crude seems to have double topped at $70 and some correction is expected in coming months.
Stock Market Supply/Demand: The Four Most Interesting Trends Of 2005
In reviewing the numerous Supply/Demand factors we track, there were four trends that are perhaps the most important and/or most interesting on this front so far in 2005.
Third Year Of Bull Market...Assessing The Current Cycle From A Historical Perspective
A comparison of the performance of the current stock market recovery to the monthly performance averages of past recoveries (1900 to date).
What Moves in the Fourth Quarter?
The top ten groups, from our 150+ group history, in each of the last six years during the fourth quarter (October to December performance).
View From The North Country
Carnage and suffering in wake of Hurricane Katrina is tragic and almost unbelievable. However, investment implications may not be as negative as many are portraying.
Heads Up....It's Almost Time To "Play The Bounce"
Buy early and avoid the December rush. 2005 stock market could be shaping up as a good year for buying the big losers, as the institutional tax selling deadline approaches (October 31st).
August Market Action
Considering the menace of record high oil prices and the devastation caused by Katrina— two topics which dominated the national headlines in August— stocks held up relatively well.
Third Year Of Bull Market...Assessing The Current Cycle From A Historical Perspective
A comparison of the performance of the current stock market recovery to the monthly performance averages of past recoveries (1900 to date).
July Market Action
Strong July stock market could continue into the dog days of August.
The Consumer: Still Chugging Along
Consumer spending may have finally peaked in this cycle, but a consumer collapse is far from imminent. Consumers can be expected to remain supportive of economic growth.
The Latest On Capex...Growth Appears Likely To Continue
Real growth in capital spending remained at an above-median rate in Q2, and it now looks like it might hold at or near these levels if an inventory rebuilding scenario plays out during the rest of the year.
Sustainable Tech Rally?
Sustainable Tech rally or nothing more than playing catch-up?
Mutual Fund Flow…..July Flows Remained Light
Despite evidence to the contrary, many continue to think that investment in exchange traded funds is commanding the lion’s share of new money flow going into all equity funds.
View From The North Country
In my opinion, the U.S. stock market is entering the terminal phase of the current cyclical bull market, based on our historical studies of typical cyclical bull market duration and magnitude. To a lesser degree the same can be said for the economic expansion.
Third Year Of Bull Market...Assessing The Current Cycle From Several Perspectives
A comparison of the performance of the current stock market recovery to the monthly performance averages of past recoveries (1900 to date and post-WWII era).
Stock Market Performance After Fed Rate Hikes
Stock market performance over a variety of time frames after the rate hikes.
View From The North Country
A recap of the year so far, and our outlook for the second half of 2005.
Half Time Equity Group Review– Checking In On The Year’s Leaders And Laggards
Half Time Report: What’s “Hot” and what’s “Not”. Group leaders and laggards for YTD, Q2 and June market action.
Further Upside In Integrated Oil?: Analysts’ EPS Estimates Still Appear Too Conservative
Revised forecasts again appear to be too conservative given prevailing spot and futures prices.
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