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Inside The Stock Market ...trends, cross-currents, and outlook

May 03 2006

Defensive Equity Groups...Some Time-Tested Ideas, And A Few New Ones

  • May 3, 2006

In our most recent update of our defensive group work, we examined industry group performance within the last four bear market cycles in order to determine which groups delivered consistent leadership.

May 03 2006

Attractive Groups Based On Insider Scores

  • May 3, 2006

Best looking groups based on current Insider Buying Selling patterns include: Gas Utilities, Aluminum, Brewers and Auto Manufacturers.

May 03 2006

Checking In On The Tech Top 20–Valuations Remain Reasonable

  • May 3, 2006

The twenty biggest Tech stocks were flat in April, but remain up 7% YTD on a median basis.

May 03 2006

Mutual Fund Flow…..Cash Flood Into Foreign Focus Funds Continues

  • May 3, 2006

On a YTD basis, flow into domestic focused stock funds significantly trails the record-breaking amount of flow going into international and global equity funds.

Apr 05 2006

Mutual Fund Flow…..Not Much Cash Flow Going Into U.S. Stock Funds

  • Apr 5, 2006

On a YTD basis, flow into domestic focused stock funds significantly trails the record-breaking amount of flow going into international and global equity funds— similar to what we saw for much of 2005.

Apr 05 2006

View From The North Country

  • Apr 5, 2006

Steve presents the transcript of his April 3rd interview with Barron's Senior Editor, Sandra Ward.

Apr 05 2006

First Quarter Market Action

  • Apr 5, 2006

Stocks continued to move higher in the first quarter, with many of the broad market indexes finishing out Q1 near their cyclical highs.

Apr 05 2006

When Fed Tightening Ends...What Can Be Expected From The Stock Market?

  • Apr 5, 2006

Data from the last seven tightening cycles suggests that too way much attention is currently being given as to when the Fed will be finished tightening. The direction of the stock market after the last rate hike has much more to do with prevailing economic and stock market conditions.

Apr 05 2006

Insider Buying/Selling In Technology Sector…..Some Isolated Buy Signals

  • Apr 5, 2006

At the market lows, the Tech insiders while not net buyers clearly slowed their aggressive selling.

Apr 05 2006

Tracking The Herd Mentality Of Corporate Buyers…..A New Indicator

  • Apr 5, 2006

In recent years cash acquisition activity has run highest when stock prices are high, and lowest when stock prices are down.

Mar 05 2006

Capex Beneficiaries: Where Is The Big Spending….And Which Industries Stand To Gain?

  • Mar 5, 2006

Capex spending on the rise. Eric Bjorgen segments the spending areas and theorizes about which groups will be the most significant beneficiaries of spending. Great idea generator for those looking for ways to play the rising capex spending.

Mar 05 2006

Earnings Momentum Excluding Energy: Energy’s Boost To Become A Drag?

  • Mar 5, 2006

Energy sector earnings growth has helped keep overall S&P earnings advancing at a relatively strong rate. Growth would be about 9% to 10% below reported growth if Energy stocks were excluded.

Mar 05 2006

View From The North Country

  • Mar 5, 2006

The persistent rise in short term rates could have a big impact on the consumer. The rising prime rate has boosted debt service costs substantially, and “Financial Death Traps” may be on the horizon.

Mar 05 2006

Mutual Fund Flow…..Foreign Equity Funds Still Drawing Record Cash

  • Mar 5, 2006

To us, the infatuation with foreign funds is looking pretty frothy and certainly raises a contrarian red flag.

Mar 05 2006

February Market Action

  • Mar 5, 2006

For the month of February, the majority of broad stock market indexes ended roughly where they began.

Mar 05 2006

What Does An Inverted Yield Curve Imply For The Financials?

  • Mar 5, 2006

Conventional wisdom states that inverted yield curves are bad for Financial groups. Doug Ramsey looks at the history of past inversions.

Mar 05 2006

Insider Selling/Buying In The Financial Sector…..Lots Of Selling At Present

  • Mar 5, 2006

An examination of Financial groups with respect to insider selling/buying. At the extremes, this tool (which is employed in our GS Scores) works pretty well.

Feb 05 2006

Mutual Fund Flow…..Foreign Funds Continue To Draw The Most Cash Flow

  • Feb 5, 2006

It was looking to be a fairly good month in terms of net cash flow until the third week of January when domestic equity ETFs were socked with nearly $7.5 billion of outflow (which we are certain was institutional activity).

Feb 05 2006

Update On The Economy….Q4 Just A Bump In The Road...Or Something More?

  • Feb 5, 2006

Real GDP in Q4 was not too robust, but the numbers will likely be revised upward.

Feb 05 2006

Playing The Bounce Update: Good Bounce In January

  • Feb 5, 2006

Small caps and large caps had a nice bounce in January, so-so for mid caps.