Inside The Stock Market ...trends, cross-currents, and outlook

The market rally in November, which carried many indexes to new highs, was not as broad-based as we like to see, but Breadth did improve some later in the month.

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Debunking one myth of buy and hold rationale. Showing how stock market returns change if investors avoid the best and worst performing stock market days. Essentially, anything can be proven with statistics.

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A comparison of the performance of the current stock market recovery to the monthly performance averages of past recoveries (1900 to date).

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Introducing the newest member of the Leuthold Research Team, Doug Ramsey. Also, a discussion on what could push the Major Trend Index back to positive territory and

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The strong November results (across all three market caps) has now propelled the 2005 “Bounce” strategy to superior performance.

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Back at the end of October, virtually all of the primary stock market indexes were slightly underwater on a YTD basis, but November’s market action changed all that with an impressive rally.

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No rebound yet in the “Playing The Bounce” stocks. Could see turnaround in November.

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CPI expected to decline in 2006 and historically a decelerating CPI is a significant stock market positive, producing above average returns. Stage could be setting for a market rally in 2006 as inflation pressures wane.

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The perils of speculation in Housing…..lessons people are now learning. Also, client questions....and Leuthold's answers.

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U.S. focus equity fund net inflow of $1.5 billion is estimated for October, which ends two consecutive months of net redemptions in August and September.

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With most indexes declining during October, it was not a bad month to have a portion of the asset allocation portfolio hedged.

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For clients unable to shift to equity alternatives or increase cash holdings, this month’s “Inside The Stock Market” section provides an update of our Defensive Stock group study in order to identify some potential hiding places.

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A comparison of the performance of the current stock market recovery to the monthly performance averages of past recoveries (1900 to date).

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Comparison the performance of the current stock market recovery to the monthly performance averages of past recoveries (1900 to date).

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New Improved Potential Earnings Disappointments Screen: Inventory Growth Versus Sales Growth.

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S&P 500 Energy weight is misleading. Adding the largest multi-national integrated oil companies to the S&P’s 10% energy weight doubles it to 20%.

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Steve Leuthold lays out both the bullish and bearish stock market cases.

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A look at the Insider Selling patterns of several Health Care related groups. As with Energy groups, there is some evidence that Insiders’ transactions can be useful in identifying tops and bottoms in specific industry areas.

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Going into September, there was little expectation that equities would perform strongly in the coming month, and by that token, the market did not disappoint.

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Now with two months of net outflow, we could be seeing complacency giving way to market concern.

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