Major Trend Index

The Major Trend Index fell 0.01 to 1.15 in the week ended June 6th, with sizable changes in three categories largely cancelling one another out.

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After sinking to a four-month low of 1.10 mid-month, the MTI rallied in the final two weeks of May to close the month at 1.16—unchanged from the reading four weeks earlier.

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The Major Trend Index rose 0.05 to 1.15 in the week ended May 23rd, bouncing sharply off the four-month low recorded in the prior week

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The Major Trend Index fell 0.02 to 1.10 in the week ended May 16th.

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Despite last Friday’s close in the DJIA at cycle highs, the Major Trend Index for the week slipped 0.04 to 1.12.

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The Major Trend Index remained bullish throughout the month of April, and closed the week of May 2nd at a moderate 1.16—up 0.01 from four weeks earlier.

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The Major Trend Index fell 0.04 to 1.15 in the week ended April 25th, driven largely by a moderate loss in the Momentum/Breadth/Divergence category.

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The Major Trend Index extended its bullish streak in the week ended April 18^th, rising 0.02 to a level of 1.19.

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The Major Trend Index rose 0.02 to 1.17 in the week ended April 11th, resulting mostly from another weekly gain in the Attitudinal category.

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The Major Trend Index closed the week of April 4th at 1.15, down from a five-month high of 1.21 recorded at the end of February.

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The Major Trend Index dropped 0.07 to 1.14 in the week ended March 28th, driven almost entirely by a steep decline in the Supply/Demand category.

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The Major Trend Index rose 0.02 to 1.21 in the week ended March 21st, matching its high for the rally leg off last summer's lows.

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The Major Trend Index rose 0.01 to 1.19 in the week ended March 14th, with none of its categories witnessing a major swing during the week. This continues to support our aggressive net equity exposure levels of 65% in both the Leuthold Core and Global Funds.

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The Major Trend Index declined 0.03 to 1.18 in the week ended March 7th. The MTI and related market disciplines continue to support above-average allocations to equities in the Core Fund and Global Fund; net equity exposure in both funds now stands at 65%.

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For the final week of February, the Major Trend Index closed at a five-month high of 1.21, up sharply from 1.09 at the end of January. While this bull market’s duration (five years) and magnitude (S&P gain of +175%) have exceeded our most optimistic expectations, the MTI and its related disciplines continue supporting our above-average exposure to equities in tactical accounts.

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The Major Trend Index jumped 0.06 last week to a five-month high of 1.21. We covered a tactical 2% short position, and the Core and Global Funds are positioned fairly aggressively, with net equity exposure of 65% and 63%, respectively. 

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The Major Trend Index remains on its extended bullish streak, closing up 0.03 to 1.15 for the week ended February 14th.

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The Major Trend Index rose 0.03 to 1.12 in the week ended February 7th, but it remains on the low end of its positive range.

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The Major Trend Index fell 0.01 to 1.11 in the week ended January 24th, remaining on the low end of its bullish zone.

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The Major Trend Index fell 0.03 to 1.12 in the week ended January 17th, a reading that’s on the low end of the tight trading range it’s occupied over the last six months.

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