S&P 500

Statistically the summer rally is mostly fiction, historically producing average or slightly below average stock market performance….but don’t plan a three month vacation yet!

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So far in 2001, 62% of trading days qualify as Extreme Volatility compared to the historical norm of 4% since 1971.

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In 2000, the NASDAQ was the most volatile it had ever been. However, in 2001, new standards are being set.

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Is a market timing strategy superior to “buy and hold”? You can prove anything with numbers. Despite that, there does appear to be a supportive case for tactical asset allocation, or market timing.

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S&P Technology Weighting has fallen to about 21.9% from nearly 35% in February. Expect it to fall to 20% or below (recession?) within the next year.

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Poor performance by Large cap technology issues had a very negative impact on S&P 500 cap weighted performers in 2000.

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The current volatility in the NASDAQ is unprecedented over the 30 year life of this index.

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S&P volatility accelerates in October while NASDAQ volatility continues at unbelievable levels.

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S&P volatility moderating while NASDAQ volatility bounced back to very high levels.

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Down significantly In August...New trend or anomaly?

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No year in NASDAQ history even approaches this year’s volatility!

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NASDAQ Volatility - Unprecedented! First step toward trading in decimals will begin this fall. Barry Small, CEO of Weeden & Co., offers his insights on the impact on liquidity and potential volatility for the U.S. markets.

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This is the most volatile market year for the S&P 500 since 1938.  Now well beyond the 45.1% level recorded in 1974.

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NASDAQ moved 1% or more every day but one in April!

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This is the most volatile market year for the S&P 500 since 1938, now surpassing the 45.1% level recorded in 1974.

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NASDAQ Index volatility has skyrocketed to nose-bleed levels since 1993.

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Billion share days, but a dearth of liquidity for institutions, as market makers contract commitments and ECNs fragment the market.

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While the 1930s were more severely volatile for the S&P, 1999 ranks second only to the 1974 record (45.1%) in the post WWII era.

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Once again, the stock market has soared to another year of strong performance. Returns of 20%-30% are becoming the norm.

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October proved to be as volatile as its reputation.

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