Performance
Bond Market Summary
The spread between Long Quality Corporates and twenty year Treasury bonds at the pinnacle is back down to a more normal range, as the Treasury shortage elimination-thesis has fallen apart due to rising budget deficits.
Scanning The Markets
Based on the broad market comparators, the new year got off to a poor start.
Large Cap Versus Small Cap: Inside The S&P 500
Poor performance by large cap technology and nifty fifty type issues had a very negative impact on S&P 500 cap weighted performers for the past three years.
Secular Bear Market Damage
Biggest losers from the March 2000 market peak.
The Year That Was
Remain bullish on the stock market, but don’t expect Main Street to be a major stock market factor in 2003. Today’s bull market expectations for the DJIA, S&P, and NASDAQ.
A Look In The Rearview Mirror
A critical examination of what we thought was the best of The Leuthold Group’s research in 2002, as well as what was not so good.
Scanning The Markets
Despite the strong gains in Q4, the stock market ended 2002 down substantially.
January Effect: Now Arrives In December
Buy now to play January effect. Every year, over the last ten years, small caps have beaten the large caps in December!
Scanning The Markets
Renaming the Paid To Play Equity Portfolio this month. New name “Select Industries” Equity Portfolio better describes the methodology which drives the construction of this all-equity portfolio.
Scanning The Markets
The stock market rallied in October, with large cap growth stocks leading the way.
Scanning The Markets
September closed the door on a very ugly third quarter.
When The Bombs Fly Is It Time To Buy?
A look at previous military conflicts and stock market reaction.
Scanning The Markets
During August, there was very little differential between the performance of the stock market indices we track.
Eerie Parallels To 1962’s Stock Market
Markets appear remarkably similar on several levels: Both markets struggling to recover in wake of recession economy. Cuban Missile Crisis left Americans wondering if war was imminent, as Iraq debate continues to heat up today.
Scanning The Markets
It was a very tough month to beat the S&P 500, as investors seemed to be selling everything in sight.
July…..A Month When Almost Nothing Worked
Short sellers posted the only solid performance numbers this month. August lows may approach July’s, but a rebound may be around the corner. …..Make sure to take the cell phone to the beach, as the market has a habit of interrupting the beach holiday.
Scanning The Markets
There was essentially no group leadership during June.
Scanning The Markets
During May, the S&P 500 lost 0.9% and the DJIA lost 0.2%. The performance of the NASDAQ was once again dismal (-4.3%).
Stock Market Plays On The Falling Dollar...Some Surprises And Some Caveats
Study shows market performance not too bad over six periods when dollar is declining…..Which groups also perform in such an environment?
Scanning The Markets
It didn’t take much to beat the S&P 500 in April.
Perception for the Professional
March 2026 Issue
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March 2026 Issue
