Performance
What Moves in the Fourth Quarter?
The top ten groups, from our 150+ group history, in each of the last six years during the fourth quarter (October to December performance).
August Market Action
Considering the menace of record high oil prices and the devastation caused by Katrina— two topics which dominated the national headlines in August— stocks held up relatively well.
July Market Action
Strong July stock market could continue into the dog days of August.
May Market Action
For those who were having trouble remembering what positive returns felt like, May’s stock market strength probably came as welcomed relief.
April Market Action
The YTD performance gap between large caps and small caps continues to widen.
March Market Action
Market is very oversold after the March decline, and a near term rally is expected soon.
February Market Action
Right out of the gates, February’s stock market performance quickly erased the declines posted in January. But by month end, the S&P 500 had given back some of the ground gained in the first half.
Take A Wait And See Attitude For February
February sure came in like a bull, with the S&P 500 already up 1.8% through February 4th, while the NASDAQ has risen 1.1%.
Did You Have The Right Mix In 2004?
Small Cap Stocks were hands down winners relative to large caps, while just edging out mid caps. This is the fifth consecutive year of small cap superiority.
Crossroads For The Bull
Many of our historical cycle studies are indicating that the stock market and U.S. economy are now getting past their prime, and may be running on borrowed time.
Impressive Select Industries Performance
Performance of the Select Industries Portfolio was very impressive during November (+10.7%), and easily outperformed the S&P 500 (+4.0%).
View From The North Country
Steve Leuthold answers client questions in this month’s “View From The North Country”, including his thoughts on the slowing earnings growth, and his definition of secular bear markets. His dollar outlook is also updated.
Scanning The Markets
Many of the past summer’s trends reversed last month, as September saw a bounce in “smid” caps and in the tech sector.
Scanning The Markets
August produced very little movement in the major market indices, which was not so bad considering a difficult July.
Pre- And Post-Election Stock Market Performance
Over the past several months, we have been comparing S&P 500 performance for the current election year to the performance averages of all election cycles since 1944.
Pre- And Post-Election Stock Market Performance
Over the past several months, we have been comparing S&P 500 performance for the current election year to the performance averages of all election cycles since 1944.
Scanning The Markets
May’s late rally extended into June to the delight of market bulls.
The "Wait and See" Market
It now seems that the market has settled into a comfort zone— or put differently— a trading range that reflects investors’ current lack of conviction about prospects for the second half of the year.
Scanning The Markets
The best performing groups in May were some of the YTD worst performers.
Scanning The Markets
Small and Mid Caps stumbled hard in a brutal month of trading and the major indices didn’t do much better. In March, we noted the lack of strong sector trends among the best and worst performing groups. This definitely reversed in April.