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Momentum

Oct 08 2013

Playing The Bounce - With A Twist

  • Oct 8, 2013

The historical batting average of this strategy has been decent, with gains in 9 of 18 years along with “excess” returns over the S&P 500 in 10 of 18 years. The best Bounce seasons have occurred when the market was either down for the year through September, or up only modestly.

Sep 10 2013

Industry Groups: No Need To Bottom-Fish

  • Sep 10, 2013

Buying global groups with strong price momentum has been a winning strategy. Will it continue?

Aug 07 2013

Sector Performance and Beta Comparisons

  • Aug 7, 2013

There are some substantial deviations in sector performance depending on your constituents and weighting scheme while, simultaneously, betas are converging toward one another.

Jul 09 2013

Major Trend Moves To Neutral, But Not All Hope For The Bulls Is Lost

  • Jul 9, 2013

Deteriorating Technicals drove the move to Neutral, but a new positive reading in the Attitudinal category gives some hope to the bulls.

May 11 2013

The Downside Of A Domestic Focus

  • May 11, 2013

We weren’t prepared to find industry price trend persistence so much more predominant at the global level than it was domestically.

Nov 06 2012

Value Vs. Momentum Performance

  • Nov 6, 2012

We see a strong and clear Poor-Value/Strong-Momentum pattern emerging, which could indicate a looming market top. While QE3 could disrupt it, the pattern looks unmistakable.

Aug 07 2012

An “Oversold” Market Turns Up

  • Aug 7, 2012

VLT Momentum fired long-term BUY signals at the end of July on the Russell 2000, MSCI World Index and EAFE - and more signals could be coming…

Jun 06 2012

Momentum Drive Returns; Correlations Increase

  • Jun 6, 2012

The worst performers are the first sell candidates for investors looking to shed assets.

Apr 04 2012

Effective Momentum Driven Sector Rotation In Emerging Markets

  • Apr 4, 2012

Momentum has proven to be an effective factor in emerging market sector rotation strategies. Even better than in U.S. markets.

Dec 06 2011

Very Little Price Pressure At Present

  • Dec 6, 2011

It is very difficult to find signs of accelerating inflation in today’s markets.

Nov 05 2011

The Return Of Value And Growth?

  • Nov 5, 2011

Correlations finally drop during the October market rally. Both Value and Growth factors outperformed during the month. Some momentum factors have diverged… each is an atypical occurrence.

May 04 2011

April Factor Performance: Talk About Boring

  • May 4, 2011

Very little to show for a month of solid market performance. Breaking the market down by capitalization yields some interesting results.

Apr 05 2011

March Performance: Factors Continue To Lack Consistency… Except For Momentum

  • Apr 5, 2011

Momentum once again has the best performance. This out-of-favor factor has continued to outperform the rest of the factors.

Apr 05 2011

Bull Market Extension?

  • Apr 5, 2011

VLT has turned up for most market indices. Even though it is still above the zero line, history shows that this signals an extension of the bull market.

Mar 04 2011

Two Down… One To Go?

  • Mar 4, 2011

Doug Ramsey highlights the “point of recognition” in this month’s “Inside The Stock Market” section. This is the point of maximum market upthrust, the point at which even hardened pessimists become convinced that the economic recovery and bull market are for real.

Feb 04 2011

January Performance: Quality and Size Take The Lead...Finally

  • Feb 4, 2011

Quantitative Factor review for January shows Large Caps, Quality, and Profitability factors finally performing well. It’s been over a year since stocks with better Profitability outperformed in an up S&P month.

Jan 05 2011

Two Quant Themes With Significant Implications For 2011

  • Jan 5, 2011

Two Quant Themes With Significant Implications For 2011. We revisit studies from the past year that focused on Revenue Growth vs. Earnings Growth, as well as Momentum vs. Value.

Jan 05 2011

Year In Review: Inconsistency Among Traditional Factors

  • Jan 5, 2011

Factor performance during 2010: A review of traditional quantitative factors and their performance for the year.

Dec 04 2010

Market Action Signals Further Room To The Upside

  • Dec 4, 2010

Factor analysis shows that Momentum continued to be effective in November. Also, aggressive equity sectors have been outperforming the defensive ones. Both of these factors bode well for a continuation of the bull market.

Nov 04 2010

Year To Date Update: Momentum Makes A Comeback

  • Nov 4, 2010

YTD the winner is momentum! This is slowly developing to the angst of many model-tweekers. Note though that how one defines momentum can make a difference in what you see.