Momentum

This technique has an almost perfect record in identifying low risk long term buying points. It doesn’t provide signals very often (only 12 since 1949), but when it does, it pays to pay attention.

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In 1988, corporate profits have been surging ahead, but the stock market has paid little heed. Investor psychology is still negative. Good earnings reports are greeted with a sell off more often than a rally.

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From mid-July through mid-September, the status of our Major Trend Index has been cause for some concern. However, during the last two weeks this work has improved significantly.

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Last year, two original earnings momentum evaluators were introduced in this publication. Currently both are giving off constructive readings for 1987 and perhaps beyond. Unfortunately, history seems to indicate this is not necessarily a big positive for stock prices.

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It’s time to start looking but too early to start buying. In this issue the groundwork is laid for being ahead of the crowd in timing a potential move back into the traditional inflation hedge stocks. A new conceptual stock grouping is introduced (The Inflation Resurgence? Index) and the current status of some inflation monitoring tools is reviewed. If a re-entry can be timed well, a profitable tactical move may be in store sooner than most now expect.

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