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Inside The Stock Market ...trends, cross-currents, and outlook

May 04 2012

Trying To Forget May 2011 (...and May 2010)

  • May 4, 2012

Trying to forget the April tops of the past two years appears to be difficult for many as sentiment measures remain relatively dismal (which is a stock market positive). What insight can we gain from this?

May 04 2012

The Bigger The Bear, The Better The Bull?

  • May 4, 2012

Does a bigger Bear market equate to a bigger Bull market recovery?

May 04 2012

Will Public Buying "Drive" New Market Highs?

  • May 4, 2012

U.S. focused equity mutual funds see continued net outflows. A look back at mutual fund flows during past bull markets answers whether public participation is required to reach new stock market highs….And does a bigger Bear market equate to a bigger Bull market recovery?

May 04 2012

Major Trend Index Still Positive: Maintain Aggressive Equity Positions

  • May 4, 2012

The current ratio remains healthy, and we believe the equity markets will move higher in the coming weeks.

May 04 2012

No Place Like Home

  • May 4, 2012

How is the U.S. stacking up relative to foreign markets since 2009 market lows?

May 04 2012

GLOBAL EQUITIES: Putting A Price On Youth

  • May 4, 2012

An interesting take on country demographics versus valuations.

May 04 2012

VLT And Foreign Markets

  • May 4, 2012

Exploring VLT (Very Long Term) Momentum readings in foreign markets versus the S&P 500.

Apr 04 2012

Bonds: Beginning Of The End?

  • Apr 4, 2012

Today’s bond market is reminiscent of the stock market in April 2000—when the first cracks in tech and telecom had appeared.

Apr 04 2012

Effective Momentum Driven Sector Rotation In Emerging Markets

  • Apr 4, 2012

Momentum has proven to be an effective factor in emerging market sector rotation strategies. Even better than in U.S. markets.

Apr 04 2012

Stay Bullish

  • Apr 4, 2012

It’s April once again… Are we due for yet another market top? Some perspectives on the possibility of attaining a new all-time market high in the current cyclical bull, and what may drive the upside.

Apr 04 2012

Is Apple Forever?

  • Apr 4, 2012

Apple now comprises 4.4% of the S&P 500, making it the fifth entrant into the Four Percent Club since 1990.

Apr 04 2012

More On Mean Reversion

  • Apr 4, 2012

Could it be possible we’re on the doorstep of another great secular run in stocks? Well… no.

Mar 06 2012

Are Low Volatility Equity Strategies The Panacea That People Are Talking About?

  • Mar 6, 2012

An examination of the low volatility stock anomaly and when it does or does not work... along with a look under the hood at the PowerShares Low Volatility ETF.

Mar 06 2012

Asia Thematic Investing: “Advertising Spending Beneficiaries”

  • Mar 6, 2012

Leuthold’s Jun Zhu provides some color on a new thematic group: “Asia Advertising Spending Beneficiaries.”

Mar 06 2012

Expecting A Little March Madness

  • Mar 6, 2012

Things seem calm on the surface… is a little March Madness in store?

Mar 06 2012

Stock Market Observations

  • Mar 6, 2012

Under the “principle of alternation”—in which price patterns vary from cycle to cycle for the sole purpose of fooling market participants—the bull market is (in my view) unlikely to top out in the spring or winter of 2012.

Mar 06 2012

New Bull Market - Or Up-Leg In An Old Bull?

  • Mar 6, 2012

Bull markets following economic versus “non-economic” bear markets—what’s the difference?

Feb 05 2012

China’s 12th ‘Five-Year Plan’ and the Healthy Tigers Index

  • Feb 5, 2012

Leuthold’s Jun Zhu provides an update on China’s latest Five-Year Plan and how it may affect the Pharmaceutical industry in China. 

Feb 05 2012

Up Market In January = Up Year??

  • Feb 5, 2012

As January goes, so goes the year. 2012 looks like it could well be an up year for stocks based on the January barometer. Market cycle chart from 1958 also says 2012 will be the “time to buy.”

Feb 05 2012

Are We Bullish Enough?

  • Feb 5, 2012

A response to why we are not yet committing to maximum 70% equity exposure in our tactical strategies.