Inside The Stock Market ...trends, cross-currents, and outlook
Worth Noting
Steve's thoughts on borrowing to buy mutual funds, indexing and an eerie post-Halloween graphic.
The Underowned and Overowned
Each quarter, Barron’s publishes an industry and sector breakdown of institutional holdings, as tabulated by Indata. This is the first time we have published this work, but we have been using it as a factor in our Sector Selection Scores.
Playing the Bounce
We are now laying some preliminary plans to “Play the Bounce”, probably initiating positions sometime after mid-December. A look at the first cut of potential buy candidates as compiled by Jim Floyd.
Not For New Era Types
How much have dividends mattered in terms of historical stock market total returns, 1920 to date?
View from the North Country
Forecasts for 1996: Recession not "Soft Landing”, Short term rate cuts, 0% inflation...or less!
Navigating the Treacherous September, October, November Period
Weighing In: Updating positives and negatives for stocks...technology leadership is fragmenting — shifting this positive to neutral.
“Playing the Bounce” Is Coming
We will be sending out our 1995 “Playing the Bounce” list via a mid-October Interim Memo.
The Public’s Record: Buy High, Sell Low
Fear has been long term investors’ greatest enemy, primarily because it keeps them from being long term investors.
Monitoring Mutual Fund Cash Flows
Because of the huge current stock market significance of sustained public inflows into equity funds, we are now monitoring these flows on a weekly basis.
Today’s Big Stock Market Positives and Negatives
Weighing In: The big positives and the big negatives for stocks...as we see them. Four possible upsets to bullish complacency.
Supply/Demand Considerations
Record demand meets record supply. September could be a crucial month.
1972’s Nifty-Fifty: How Have They Fared?
Back in 1972, an elite group of companies had been identified as offering guaranteed growth in the future. These were christened the “Nifty Fifty”. Subsequent market performance of these chosen companies is presented herein.
The Bull Marches On
Beginning of the end for tech stocks? Maybe not. More “new era” speak — a.k.a. justifications for an overvalued equity market.
Watch Out Below
Four possible upsets to bullish complacency.
Inside The S&P 500
A listing of the 50 best and 50 worst year to date performers in the S&P 500 (through the end of July).
View from the North Country
Does an “Information Revolution” justify unprecedented equity valuations for the broad market? Another downward inflation revision and a novel way to promote Social Security reform.
Worth Noting
Steve’s notes on revising the GDP calculation, market implications of discount rate cut, stock market capitalization as a percentage of the GDP and more.
Monitoring Mutual Fund Cash Flows
Supply/Demand: $11.2 billion net cash into U.S. focus equity funds versus $9 billion of equity offerings in July.
Still Watching the Bull Market Go By Us
Who's leading the bull market charge? Unsophisticated investors?
What Might Change Today’s Bullish Psychology?
The basic question is, what might motivate the Teflon market to initially suffer a period of weakness?