Inside The Stock Market ...trends, cross-currents, and outlook
Volatility Update
The April volatility was up from March levels in both the NASDAQ and S&P 500.
NASDAQ Short Interest…..Flat For April
Even though the NASDAQ is again in decline, a new buy signal is not imminent here.
March Mutual Fund Flows
As demonstrated by the fact that 2002 YTD level is much better than 2001, Main Street investors’ confidence in the stock market has made a major comeback.
Rising Interest Rates Don't Always Mean A Falling Stock Market
A look at market performance over five different rising interest rate periods. Results are somewhat surprising.
NASDAQ Short Interest
NASDAQ short interest ratio up in March.
Insider Block Measures
Remains in normal historical range.
View From The North Country
New feature focusing on Steve’s opinions that lie out of consensus view.
Volatility Update
With respect to the S&P 500, today’s volatility is the lowest in five years.
Tough To Score In The First Quarter
Economy and inflation predictions on track so far in Q1, but stock market slowed by some confidence-shaking speed bumps.
NASDAQ Short Interest Ratio: A Useful Tool
Slight decrease this month, but still riding the August buy signal.
A Bumpy Road To Recovery
Market begins to shake off “Enronitis” and as economic positives continue, the next rally could come quickly. And yes, it was a recession.
Changes In The Global Industry Classification Structure
On March 31, MSCI/S&P set a number of changes into effect. Many already outlined in our sector book Equity Strategies.
February Mutual Fund Flows
January and February’s cash flows have picked up from the very low levels seen throughout 2001, but this is not necessarily a sign that Main Street investors have fallen in love with the stock market again.
Volatility Update
While the markets are still very volatile, the vast majority of our volatility charts show 2001 levels down somewhat from 2000.
Capitalization Tier Meausres
Continuing to evaluate Leuthold Index methodology.
Insider Block Measures
Remains in normal historical range.
View From The North Country
Last month in this section we discussed the DALBAR study finding that mutual fund investors radically underperform. Their conclusions seemed reasonable, but the degree of underperformance was difficult to believe. We begin to examine their methodology this month.
2001 Mutual Fund Flow Recap
January 2002 fund flows and a review of the cash flow trends, comparing 2001 levels to previous years.
Market Timing With The Index Of Leading Economic Indicators
Index of Leading Economic Indicators, a good coincident indicator for the stock market. Looks like it’s on the mend.
Tech Watch
S&P Tech up slightly in January, but median PE ratio rises for 5th straight month as poor earnings are reported.
Perception for the Professional
May 2026 Issue
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