Equity Strategies Group-Level Analysis Of The Equity Markets

After the initial burst of enthusiasm, the turmoil and troubles of the past two years have brought expectations back down to reality or below. We view this as a second and better opportunity to initiate a “Developing Europe” investment theme.

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A number of modifications were made in the screening process as we attempted to exclude stocks with fading earnings momentum. It appears our modifications have been effective.

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A performance rundown for our equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by August 1991 performance.

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This month we added three new stocks from Jim Floyd’s “Undervalued & Unloved” screening work, boosting our current commitment to value stocks to 16% of portfolio assets. We now believe Value's downtrend has reversed and this view seems to be confirmed by the relative strength line.

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A performance rundown for our equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by July 1991 performance.

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This has been a vintage “bounce” period, the best ever! Relative strength lagged in June for the first time this year. Per our monitoring procedure, it is time to take profits.

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We did it. We took an initial 6% position in our “Clean Energy” (natural gas) sector this month, a move that has been under consideration for some time. The Leuthold Group has yet to be bagged by the natural gas bubble, so here is our chance.

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A performance rundown for our equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by June 1991 performance.

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A performance rundown for our equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by May 1991 performance.

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This has been a vintage “bounce” period, the best ever! We know that some of our smarter clients did play this game. Here’s a monitor for those fortunate and gutsy few.

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This could prove to be a very rewarding investment sector, assuming the market continues to favor technology and an economic recovery gets underway in late 1991.

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This has been a vintage “bounce” period, perhaps the best ever! We know some of our smarter clients did play this game. The following section is a monitor for those fortunate and gutsy few.

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A performance rundown for our equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by April 1991 performance.

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A performance rundown for our equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by March 1991 performance - 62% of our sectors beat the S&P 500.

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This has been a vintage “bounce” period, perhaps the best ever! We know that some of our smarter clients did play this game. The following section is a monitor for those fortunate and gutsy few.

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A performance rundown for our equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by February 1991 performance (75% of our sectors again beat the S&P 500 in February).

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This has been a vintage “bounce” period! We know that some of our smarter clients did decide to play the game. This section is a monitor for them.

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This may be a tactical war play, but it could be more. Some of these stocks may once again be recognized as growth stocks, even if we see a speedy resolution of the Mideast conflict.

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A performance rundown for our equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by January 1991 performance (80% of our sectors beat the S&P 500 in January).

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The table on the next page is a performance ruddown for our equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by 1990 performance (only 33% of our sectors beat the S&P 500 in 1990).

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