Equity Strategies Group-Level Analysis Of The Equity Markets

Contrary to August, when the S&P 500 was beaten by 93% of the sectors tracked, September saw more normal action.

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Big caps lost favor in August, as the S&P 500 beat only five of the 72 sectors, while the DJIA only managed to outperform two sectors.

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Returning to the scene and buying “Crimestoppers,” which returned to Attractive after serving nine month sentence in Neutral.

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“Major Drugs” hit Attractive in June, slipped to High Neutral in July, and moved back to Attractive in August.

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On a YTD basis, the DJIA and S&P 500 indices have now beaten more than 75% of the sectors we track. Big caps have so far clearly dominated over most of 1997.

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In June, the DJIA and S&P 500 again exerted their dominance, as each outperformed about 70% of the sectors we track. On a YTD basis, these two market indices have now beaten about 80% of the sectors.

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Cable hooks up with VLT Momentum measure to improve to Attractive.

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There was a significant role reversal in May, as small caps significantly outperformed large caps. As a result, about 65% of the sectors we track outperformed the DJIA and S&P 500.

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Narrowness in the stock market was very evident in April, as the DJIA’s 6.3% gain was better than 70 of the 78 sectors we track (90%).

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We plan to replace the Semiconductors with a new 8% holding in Classic Value. Banks still dominate this screen.

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Breadth improved in March, with 41% of the sectors outperforming both the S&P 500 and the DJIA. During the first two months of 1997, only 18 of 71 sectors were able to outperform these measures.

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Year to date, both the DJIA and the S&P 500 have outperformed 55 of the 73 sectors we track (75%).

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The tables on the next two pages are performance rundowns for The Leuthold Group's equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by January's performance.

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Sector employed in equity portfolio (Jan. 1997).

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The tables on the next two pages are performance rundowns for The Leuthold Group's equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by 1996 performance.

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Technology was a big winner in November, with 8 of the top 20 sectors being technology related.

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Boosting commitments in this sector by 5%. We expect lower interest rates over the next 6-12 months, and this sector should benefit.

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Boosting commitments in Natural Gas by 3%. Sector has ranked in the Most Attractive category for seven straight months.

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REITs continually ranked this year among Most Attractive. After tactical additions, 15% now invested in REITs. Interest in these real estate proxies is definitely increasing, by both institutional and individual investors.

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A performance rundown for The Leuthold Group's equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by October performance.

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