Group Report

The Industrial Metals equities group has been very disappointing over the past three months, especially given May’s rally in the broad equity market.

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The Industrial Metals equity group continued to sell off in April, dropping 10.5% on the heels of –6.1% return in March.

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As contrarians, we have been looking for an opportunity to establish holdings in this down and out equity group. May GS Scores finally ranked it as Attractive for the first time since July 2003.

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Injecting small starter position of Generic Pharmaceuticals into the Select Industries Portfolio, bringing exposure to Health Care sector to a modest overweight position.

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Profit taking certainly played a large part in the past month’s sell-off. Another key factor was that rising U.S. interest rates in March prompted a rebound in the U.S. dollar against major currencies.

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We had speculated last month that both metal equities and physical metals were primed for a bounce, but we must admit we were surprised by the size of the bounce, particularly in the metal equities.

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New portfolio group position being established in Computer Storage & Peripherals, giving us our first tech holding in eight months.

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If this is indeed just another technical sell-off, now could be a great time to add to both metals shares and physical metals exposure.

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Given the mostly positive performance in physical metals, profit taking was the likely culprit in pushing metal shares lower in December.

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Adding Distillers & Vintners to “Small Group” holdings.

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Metals stocks quickly made back October’s losses, and more, during the November rally.  

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A new component within Select Industries “Small Group” holding.

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A new component in new “Small Group” holding within Select Industries.

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Physical metals experienced a deep sell-off on Wednesday Oct. 13th.  It was one of the largest single day drops ever in the base metals markets, prompting London metals traders to dub the day “Black Wednesday.”

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Added a new holding in Steel stocks to the Select Industries portfolio in September.

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Metals were a great place to be in the month of September, especially the latter part of the month.

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The strong relative performance in Industrial Metals shares over the past four months provides evidence that investors are beginning to buy into the sustainability of the current uptrend in metals prices.

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The strong relative performance in Industrial Metals shares over the past three months leads us to believe that investors are beginning to buy into the sustainability of the current uptrend in metals prices.

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Health Care was our top-ranked sector from March 2003 to February 2004. Since that time, the sector’s composite score has steadily fallen. 

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The Industrial Metals group, our second largest Select Industries portfolio group holding, continued to rally in June.

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