Green Book August 2015
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Featured Articles
Value, Momentum, And The Stock Market Cycle
Conventional measures of market action, like breadth and industry leadership, point to the formation of a bull market top. Divergences abound.
Re-Deflation: Lower Rates, Wider Spreads
Re-deflation is the period where reflation gives way to deflation or disinflation. It has been so prevalent that it triggered a new “Higher Risk” signal in our Risk Aversion Index.
Fed Watching For The 21st Century
Deteriorating stock market breadth and worrisome leadership trends both suggest liquidity has already tightened; whether the Fed follows suit in September may now be just a formality.
The 30/30 Club!
The S&P 500 Energy sector’s latest plunge puts it down by almost a third in the last 14 months. It now belongs to an exclusive list of sectors which have declined 30% on both an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500!
Homebuilding, More Than Just Curb Appeal?
While this Consumer Discretionary group has not experienced six-plus-years of market outperformance, we think it may be poised for a late-game bounce. An overall lack of housing options may be just what this industry needs to give it a long-awaited boost.
Table of Contents
Stock Market
- On High Alert
- Stock Market Observations
- Weakening Foundation
- Fed Watching For The 21st Century
- Too Many Highs, Too Many Lows
- Minding The Gaps
- Emerging Markets: A Half-Off Sale!
- The 30/30 Club!
- Avoiding Gold
- Chinese Equity Market: Valuation Gap And Going Private
Of Special Interest
Macro Monitor
Equity Strategies
- Info Tech Sliding
- Homebuilding, More Than Just Curb Appeal?
- GS Score Sector Rankings, and Highlighted Attractive Groups
Quant
Market Internals
Portfolios
- Core & Global Asset Allocation Portfolios
- Domestic & Global Long-Only Portfolios
- 100% Short Portfolio: AdvantHedge
Major Trend
Estimating the Downside
At Random
Value, Momentum, And The Stock Market Cycle
Conventional measures of market action, like breadth and industry leadership, point to the formation of a bull market top. Divergences abound.
Re-Deflation: Lower Rates, Wider Spreads
Re-deflation is the period where reflation gives way to deflation or disinflation. It has been so prevalent that it triggered a new “Higher Risk” signal in our Risk Aversion Index.
Fed Watching For The 21st Century
Deteriorating stock market breadth and worrisome leadership trends both suggest liquidity has already tightened; whether the Fed follows suit in September may now be just a formality.
The 30/30 Club!
The S&P 500 Energy sector’s latest plunge puts it down by almost a third in the last 14 months. It now belongs to an exclusive list of sectors which have declined 30% on both an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500!
Homebuilding, More Than Just Curb Appeal?
While this Consumer Discretionary group has not experienced six-plus-years of market outperformance, we think it may be poised for a late-game bounce. An overall lack of housing options may be just what this industry needs to give it a long-awaited boost.
Stock Market
- On High Alert
- Stock Market Observations
- Weakening Foundation
- Fed Watching For The 21st Century
- Too Many Highs, Too Many Lows
- Minding The Gaps
- Emerging Markets: A Half-Off Sale!
- The 30/30 Club!
- Avoiding Gold
- Chinese Equity Market: Valuation Gap And Going Private
Of Special Interest
Macro Monitor
Equity Strategies
- Info Tech Sliding
- Homebuilding, More Than Just Curb Appeal?
- GS Score Sector Rankings, and Highlighted Attractive Groups
Quant
Market Internals
Portfolios
- Core & Global Asset Allocation Portfolios
- Domestic & Global Long-Only Portfolios
- 100% Short Portfolio: AdvantHedge
Major Trend
Estimating the Downside
At Random
Perception for the Professional
March 2026 Issue
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Sector Navigator
March 2026 Issue
