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Green Book January 2013

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Featured Articles

A Peak At The Rear-View Mirror!

We’ve lately made it a January tradition to publish a “Rear View Mirror” forecast for S&P 500 returns out to the end of this decade.

A Review Of Correlations & Factor Performance

A review of correlations and factor performance. Plus, weighting matters in sector performance as we compare the S&P 500 to our Leuthold 3000 universe.

Bridesmaid Revisited: Do You Buy Strength Or Weakness?

Our “second best really is best” analysis comes up with an asset class we like and a sector we hate, plus trying it monthly doesn’t work out quite the way we thought it would.

Inflation Slightly Lower Than Expected

The non-seasonally adjusted CPI fell 0.5% from October to November, lower than expected.

Leuthold Stock Quality Rankings

Our Stock Quality Rankings currently show that stocks with Low Quality rankings outperformed those with High Quality rankings.

New “Higher Risk” Signal — But We Remain Cautiously Optimistic

We’re downplaying the new signal’s significance and remain cautiously optimistic towards risky assets near term. Our biggest concern is that a rise is extremely likely going forward. 

Nightmare Portfolio Comes To Life, Beats Dream Portfolio

Some of the best and worst performers of 2011 repeated their performance in 2012.

Ringing In The New Year On A Wide Range Of Topics

Did we just get a Technical “all clear” sign? Is the trading day getting you down? What about corporate earnings, or sovereign debt and the stock market?

The Role Of Commodities In A Multi-Asset Class Portfolio

The primary benefits are their inflation and U.S. dollar hedging capabilities.

The Upside Breakout

We still think interest rates are likely to be range-bound, but the range will likely shift higher to the 185-240 bps area if the current breakout is successful.

Where To Buy In The Changing Landscape Of Advertising

Select Industries makes an Advertising buy, looking for the large integrated agencies to make their best pitch.

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