Green Book February 2013
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Featured Articles
An Update On Fund Cash Flows In 2013
The late 1970’s bull market has some eerie similarities, and sentiment reflects Main Street’s newfound bullishness. Plus a look at January fund category flows gives us some points to ponder.
Correlations And Factor Performance
Value factor performance took off at the end of June last year and never looked back; posting positive Q1 minus Q5 spreads every month since.
New Highs, And Then What?
We are in clear view of the “Twin Peaks” S&P 500 highs of the last decade and these should be eclipsed by mid-year. But when the S&P 500 is adjusted for inflation or denominated in Swiss Francs or Gold these highs may prove elusive.
The Math Doesn’t Work For Long-Term Treasuries
The recent upside breakout in the U.S. 10-year yield was successful, and it appears interest rates will remain in the new higher range for now. But what are the short-term implications of higher U.S. Treasury rates on asset allocation decisions?
The Weakening Yen — Too Far Too Fast
We are highly skeptical “Abenomics” can produce different results this time.
Table of Contents
Stock Market
Of Special Interest
Macro Monitor
Quant
An Update On Fund Cash Flows In 2013
The late 1970’s bull market has some eerie similarities, and sentiment reflects Main Street’s newfound bullishness. Plus a look at January fund category flows gives us some points to ponder.
Correlations And Factor Performance
Value factor performance took off at the end of June last year and never looked back; posting positive Q1 minus Q5 spreads every month since.
New Highs, And Then What?
We are in clear view of the “Twin Peaks” S&P 500 highs of the last decade and these should be eclipsed by mid-year. But when the S&P 500 is adjusted for inflation or denominated in Swiss Francs or Gold these highs may prove elusive.
The Math Doesn’t Work For Long-Term Treasuries
The recent upside breakout in the U.S. 10-year yield was successful, and it appears interest rates will remain in the new higher range for now. But what are the short-term implications of higher U.S. Treasury rates on asset allocation decisions?
The Weakening Yen — Too Far Too Fast
We are highly skeptical “Abenomics” can produce different results this time.
Stock Market
Of Special Interest
Macro Monitor
Quant
Perception for the Professional
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Sector Navigator
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