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Green Book November 2012

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Featured Articles

Correlations: Digging Deeper At The Sector & Group Levels

Correlations have been extremely elevated over the past few years when compared to historical levels. The question is, which parts of the market has this impacted the most?

Is The Glass “Half Full”?

A “dozen” major market measures have moved to new bull market highs in the last three months. But many of these have been the groups that do best when “risk” is “off,” and may be a reason “Ain’t Nobody Happy,” even in an up year. 

Major Trend Undergoes Revisions

We have chosen to have the original MTI “subsume” many critical global measures, and put all of our best efforts into a single tool monitoring the overall stock market environment.

Mapping The Emerging Market Health Care Sector

We’ve published a series of research notes detailing our thoughts on the Health Care sector in Emerging Asia and formed a thematic group “Asia Healthy Tigers.” Even though most of the investable companies in Emerging Market Health Care are located in Asia, we decided to expand to other regions as well. 

New Positions In Select Industries Portfolio

Two groups were purchased in the Select Industries portfolio in late October: Health Care Services and Wireless Telecommunication Services.

Value Vs. Momentum Performance

We see a strong and clear Poor-Value/Strong-Momentum pattern emerging, which could indicate a looming market top. While QE3 could disrupt it, the pattern looks unmistakable.

Wealth Effects: Housing Likely To Be The Bright Spot

The stock market wealth effect has been direct and pronounced. But it’s been wearing off, with the subsequent rally after each Fed stimulus weaker than the previous one.

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