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Green Book August 2000

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Bond Market Summary

Economy still has considerable momentum, but there are signs of a slowdown in the second half. Still expect further Fed tightening. Expect inflation rates of change to soon peak, then cool off in Q4.

Capitalization Tier Meausres

The Leuthold Group has set out to create a more realistic assessment of Big, Mid, Small, and Micro cap performance.

Corporate Insiders’ Big Block Transactions

The Leuthold Group monitor of the “smart money” crowd provides reliable information of stock market health. The data reveals big block insider selling has become a significant source of selling pressure in recent years, especially this year.

Good Advice For Summer Campers Bears Repeating

In August many go to the beach, but I know some of you go to the woods. For you campers, here is a public service announcement from Mark Dibble at Fidelity in Boston.

Internet Insanity Index

After a big bounce in June (+21%), the Internet Insanity Index came back to earth in July with a 7.7% loss.

July Mutual Fund Flows: Main Street Investors Remain Mostly Unfazed By Market Declines

One thing can be said about the equity fund money flow this year: it just keeps rolling in.

New Select Industries Group Holding: Life Insurance

Buying Life & Health Insurance giving the Paid To Play Portfolio 12% more exposure to the broad Financial group as Fed tightening may be in its final stages.

New Select Industries Group Holding: Small Cap Value

Is “Value” back? Not certain yet, but our thematic Small Cap Value group was upgraded to Attractive this month due to big jump in GS Score.

Scanning The Markets

The DJIA was the winner among the major stock market indices with its small 0.7% gain. Most of the measures were down in July...the NASDAQ lost 5.0% and the S&P 500 fell 1.6%. Despite the overall market weakness, there were still several groups that did well.

This Is A Tough Market

The Value Tide is coming in (finally). In July, Large Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap Value all outperformed their “Growth” counterparts by  generous margins.

View From The North Country

What are the economists missing? Dismal performance by practitioners of a dismal science! Jim Bianco, Bianco Research L.L.C., helps shed some light on the subject: “GDP Reality vs. Perception”.

Volatility Update…Today’s S&P Volatility Reminiscent of 1987

No year in NASDAQ history even approaches this year’s volatility!

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