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Green Book June 1998

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Featured Articles

Asian Emerging Markets—Buying the Weakness

An update on our Asia Pacific Market Opportunity Index.

Day To Day Stock Market Volatility

Only two of the twenty trading days in May closed with moves of 1% or more.

Gold Stocks: What Now?

Update on our North American Gold stock index.

Inside the Bond Market

Asian crisis not helping much (yet), putting brakes on strong U.S. economy (except on earnings)...Asia (including Japan) will become heavier “drag” on U.& in next six months...Inflation likely to increase slightly but still viewed as tame.

Insider Block Measures...An Update Of May Special Research Study

Insiders’ Big Block Transactions: latest reading indicating net selling at 16 year high.

Joke of the Month

This month’s winner is John McGinley, the proprietor of Technical Trends in Wilton, Connecticut. John is a frequent contributor but usually his humor does not make it by our Commissioner of Good Taste.

Major Stock Market Positives and Negatives

  A review of the significant stock market positives and negatives as I currently see them.

May Mutual Fund Flows

Mutual fund investors’ enthusiasm cooled during May’s volatile stock market, leaving monthly total equity fund inflows at the lowest level since March 1997.

Scanning the Markets

May was a tough month, with only 18% of the sectors beating the DJIA (-1.8%) and 19% beating the S&P 500 (-1.9%).

The Not So Merry Month of May

May was malicious for most portfolio managers. Despite just modest declines for the S&P 500 and DJIA, 80% of Leuthold sectors were down more.

Valuations in Low Inflation Environments

Low inflation environments versus “new era” valuations. Examining low inflation environments only, with our “Upside/Downside” factors, there is still 34%+ downside to median valuation levels (1957 to date).

View From the North Country

Remembering Mister Johnson, the founding spirit of Fidelity. A “Balanced” mutual fund up 8% in a single day? Also, a reader response to last month’s comments on a new NYSE rule and how good were the good old days?

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