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Green Book December 1993

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Bond Market Summary

The late October bond market retreat spilled over into November, as nervous investors continued to be bombarded with better than expected economic reports.

Examining Historical Earnings Growth

Based on the analysis herein, combined with the lack of earnings progress since 1988, we conclude that future earnings growth projections in our earnings model may be too conservative.

Inflation/Deflation and the Stock Market

What Has Been The Best Inflationary Environment For Stock Market Performance?...How Have Stocks Done In Deflationary Years?...121 Years Of History Examined...Also Looks At P/E Ratios In Different Inflationary Environments

Joke of the Month

Joke flow has been quite good in the last two months and this, based on the Norris Joke Indicator, may be a good omen for the December and January stock market.

Major Trend Index Slips To Neutral

Yes, there are more negative points than positive points, but the margin is not enough to be considered a sell signal. Don’t jump the gun.

Mutual Fund Focus

It appears that U.S. focus equity mutual funds suffered a mild case of net redemptions during the last half of November, but the public was back on the "buy side" by the end of the month.

Playing the Bounce Update

The Leuthold Group established an initial 9% Equity Model position in “Bounce Favorites” in mid-October. This issue, we have revised and updated our current “Bounce” list.

Scanning the Markets

A performance rundown for The Leuthold Group's equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by November's performance.

View from the North Country

What About China?...The 7% Solution...Plan Sponsor's Future Investment Earnings Assumptions Are Too High...Some Facts About Gold

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