Skip to content

Green Book March 1989

Login

For full access, please enter your credentials.

Featured Articles

Almost No Change: Still Bullish

Did February mark the beginning of a 7%-10% intermediate stock market correction? I don’t think so. The market gave up some ground last month, but not much and it caused very little deterioration in our indicators.

Bond Market Summary

In February, stocks and bonds tracked the same course. The CRB Index came down significantly in February and was close to breaking down before a late month surge. The JOC Index remains above its January breakout level.

Fearless Forecasts...1989

Each year, along about this time, this publication (with help from our readers) makes a series of “Fearless Forecasts” - frivolous flights of foolishness and fantasy.

Intrinsic Value Update

We apologize for the unanticipated Benchmarks delay. In the meantime, per client requests, here are updated histograms for our primary stock market value benchmarks, including commentary. We are pleased that so many of our clients really do use this work.

Joke of the Month

Readers will find additional humor (I hope) in this issue’s “Fearless Forecasts”, but in keeping with tradition, we also need a joke of the month. This month’s winner comes from Chuck Zender, here at The Leuthold Group. It is quite timely.

More Comment About the Russell 2000

David Burnett from the Russell organization has provided us with additional information on the index, its current construction and how it might be further modified.

Scanning the Markets

A performance run down for our equity market sectors ranked by February performance.

Three Steps and Stumble

The most recent rise in the discount rate triggered the “Three Steps and Stumble” rule. Years ago, Edson Gould popularized this theory. In effect, it is based on the assumption that tight credit ultimately terminates a bull market.

View from the North Country

Our Budget Deficit Fears Have Increased…Update on New Zealand Stock Market...Another Aussie Bond Opportunity?

Table of Contents