Yield Curve

Bond market still ahead of itself, fueled by flight to credit quality...But money flows could slow, should Asia outlook improve, or Japan act decisively.

• Read more

The U.S. yield curve could mildly invert in 1998, even with a passive Fed.

• Read more

Yield curve typically inverted about 62% of the time.

• Read more

Long term rates are "normally" higher than short term rates to compensate investors for the likely risk that inflation will undermine the value of their bonds.

• Read more

Weight of the evidence discipline remains neutral this month. Long T-bond six and twelve month worst case still seen only as 8.50% level.

• Read more

Economy Humming Along...Fed Not Done Yet...Inflation Still Number One Worry

• Read more