Sectors

Two way market? In February, 15 groups recorded double digit advances (9 were Info. Tech related). But 25 groups had double digit losses.

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Market averages all posted losses in January. 45% of groups in Leuthold coverage better than the 5.1% loss in S&P 500. 43% outperformed DJIA’s 4.8% loss.

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Q4 performance push sent NASDAQ to record year. Broad sector Information Technology surged 221% in 1999.

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Information Technology trounced all broad sectors in November and leads YTD as well.

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Beginning this month, “Scanning The Markets” will include almost all the new S&P/MSCI “standardized” narrow industry group classifications as employed in our new publication Leuthold’s Groups.

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Late September surge in price of gold put gold mining group at top of monthly performance table (+26%), followed by Internet Insanity with 12% gain on the month.

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Unveiling expanded and improved industry group product this month…Leuthold’s Groups.

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Thus far in 1999, technology still leads. Seven of the top ten performing groups are technology subsets.

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September-October, two months to be wary of.

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Biotechs came on strong in July (17.3% gain), beating all sectors for the month. Internet Insanity and Internet Services were the big losers for July (both down about 14%).

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What happened to the markets in July?..…No obvious major factor for decline. The daily stock market chart of July 1999 is close to a carbon copy of July 1998. Will history repeat itself in August? Let’s hope not.

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Interesting switch in Q2, away from intangibles of cyberspace and into technology equipment. Year to date momentum, though shifty, is still concentrated in technology and communications.

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Cyclical rally proved short lived, while “dotcom” stocks suffered poorest month since August 1998.

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The S&P 500 eased 2.5% in May, while measures of smaller cap stocks edged up 1% to 2%. Major Trend Index has shifted to negative status. Dow Jones 40,000?

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Massive shift into cyclical stocks during April left most investors scratching their heads, as technology high-flyers took second chair to metals, energy, and other basic materials.

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It may seem simplistic to be buying these stocks with the ongoing news from the Balkans, but sometimes the simplest concepts can be the most rewarding.

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Energy stocks ignited in March with Oil Equipment & Services outstripping the (still) high flying Internet stocks.

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S&P 500’s cap weighted 5% Q1 return overwhelmed most active manager’s returns.

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The month of love left most tech investors and small cap investors broken-hearted.

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Measured from the recent market month end lows (August 1998), the NASDAQ Composite has surged 67.1%, beating 86% of Leuthold equity sectors over this time frame.

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