Performance
S&P 500: Weighted and Unweighted
Each January, clients call to inquire about last year's performance of the S&P 500 with each component stock given equal weight.
The Message Is “Be Cautious”
The most recent calculation of the Major Trend Index (Nov. 30) continues to raise the danger/caution flag for the U.S. equity market. The U.S. stock market still appears vulnerable to the extent of a 25%-30% decline in the popular averages.
Scanning the Markets
A performance rundown for Leuthold equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by three month performance.
Bond Market Summary
All things considered, I think November's long bond market performed surprisingly well.
Scanning the Markets
A performance rundown for Leuthold equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by October performance.
Bond Market Summary
Yes, the fixed income markets are confusing these days. Maybe the fog will clear after the election. But here on November 2nd, I won't speculate on that.
Scanning the Markets
A performance rundowns for Leuthold equity market sectors (and other measures), ranked by third quarter performance.
Scanning the Markets
A performance rundown for Leuthold equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by August performance.
Scanning the Markets
A performance rundown for Leuthold equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by July performance.
Bond Market Summary
Overall, July was one heck of a month for the fixed income markets. Most of the move in short term paper came early in the month but longer term fixed income securities continued their steady rise until the last three days of July.
Scanning the Markets
The DJIA managed to score a 2.6% gain in the second quarter and the S&P 500 edged up 1.1%. But for most managers, it was tough sledding, especially for the heroes of 1992.
Scanning the Markets
A performance rundown for Leuthold equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by May performance.
A Long Term Message Courtesy of Ned Davis
Ned Davis gave me this chart at the May Market Technicians Conclave in Naples Florida. It is a great chart, clearly making the point that today's stock market is overextended in terms of its historical performance history, not just in terms of valuation history.
Coming: The Golden Years for Stock Market Timing
On the evening of May 14th, Steve Leuthold was the keynote speaker at the 17th annual Market Technicians Association Seminar in Naples, Florida. What follows is a slightly edited version of his speech and the charts and tables used in a workshop on the following day.
Scanning the Markets
A performance rundown for Leuthold equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by year to date performance.
Did Your Stocks Make Money In April?
A glance at the popular market averages made April look like a pretty good month in the stock market. But if your equity performance in April matched those numbers, you must have had a well-oiled portfolio of deep cyclicals.
Past Performance in Perspective
During April, the histogram featured in this section was used in presentations to the Cleveland and Denver analyst societies. It appears to have surprised some professionals, especially those who entered the investment profession during the 1980’s.
Scanning The Markets: The First Quarter
The table on the next page is a performance rundown for Leuthold equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by first quarter 1992 performance.
Scanning The Markets
The table on the next page is a performance rundown for Leuthold equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by February 1992 performance.
Perception for the Professional
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