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P/E

Sep 03 2008

Small Cap Outperformance: More Questions Than Answers

  • Sep 3, 2008

Small cap out performance so far in 2008 is baffling. Earnings growth has been weak relative to large caps and valuations are still excessive. Interestingly, EAFE Small Cap Index is underperforming, while its U.S. counterparts are doing well.

Jul 04 2008

Stock Market In High Inflation Environments

  • Jul 4, 2008

High Inflation typically is NOT a good environment for stocks, but we don’t believe the CPI will move to the “high” inflation environment.

Aug 05 2006

High P/E Stocks: Becoming A Safe Place To Hide?

  • Aug 5, 2006

Value continues to have leadership position over Growth among Large Cap stocks. Mid Caps also shifting to favor Value, but Growth still leading in the Small Cap tier.

Aug 05 2006

The Homebuilding Group – Value Play Or Value Trap?

  • Aug 5, 2006

Everybody sure hates the Homebuilders. However, contrarians should take note of this month’s analysis of earnings prospects, insider selling/buying, and the outlook for future housing starts. Now is not the time to be bottom fishing here.

Jul 04 2006

Health Care's Top 20 Stocks

  • Jul 4, 2006

Highlight on the Health Care sector: Relative Valuations, Top Twenty Components, P/E Ratios, PSR, and Gross Profit Margins.

Feb 05 2006

Tech Watch Revisited – Examining The Bullish Case For Info Tech

  • Feb 5, 2006

Technology continues to be a hot topic. This month’s “Inside The Stock Market” takes an objective look at the Tech sector.

Jul 04 2005

Further Upside In Integrated Oil?: Analysts’ EPS Estimates Still Appear Too Conservative

  • Jul 4, 2005

Revised forecasts again appear to be too conservative given prevailing spot and futures prices.

Oct 05 2004

Sector Spotlight...on Technology

  • Oct 5, 2004

Looking for Q4 tactical trading opportunities in Tech.

Sep 05 2004

Large Cap Growth Versus Large Cap Value

  • Sep 5, 2004

Large Cap Growth stocks are relatively cheap compared to Large Cap Value stocks. The next major trend should be in Large Cap Growth.

Aug 04 2004

Sector Spotlight: Health Care Watch

  • Aug 4, 2004

The near term is becoming more uncertain for Health Care stocks, as HC groups have experienced an erosion in GS Score strength.

Apr 05 2004

Sector Spotlight: Health Care

  • Apr 5, 2004

Since 2000, the Health Care sector has moved ahead with no help from the big drug stocks.

Mar 03 2004

Sector Spotlight: Health Care

  • Mar 3, 2004

Conceptually we think that the big drug stocks are poised to rebound, but they have yet to rank Attractive in the Group Selection Scores.

Aug 05 2003

Tech Watch

  • Aug 5, 2003

The broad Tech sector has rallied significantly from lows and is not cheap by traditional measures.

Jul 04 2003

Tech Watch

  • Jul 4, 2003

This may be one of the few sectors that has the opportunity to provide 20% or more growth in 2003. If inves­tors can get over their fears, they could be rewarded by the Tech sector.

May 05 2003

Tech Watch

  • May 5, 2003

Technology stocks up BIG in April. The NASDAQ gained 9.2% for the month, secondonly to the Russell 2000 in terms of performance.

Mar 05 2003

New Data Series: Leuthold 3000 Stock Universe Valuations—Growth Vs. Value

  • Mar 5, 2003

The initial framework presented with a snapshot of the current relationships.

Jan 05 2003

Is The Stock Market's Current P/E Dangerously High?

  • Jan 5, 2003

It is possible for new bull markets to emerge from high P/E levels. Earnings are cyclical, so when earnings decline in a recession, it can mark a very good buying opportunity despite high P/Es.

Dec 04 2002

Valuations Are Sky High…How Can The Leuthold Group Be Bullish?

  • Dec 4, 2002

An explanation herein, with the use of our trusty histograms.

Nov 05 2002

P/E Peaks and Troughs…..Since World War II

  • Nov 5, 2002

It’s possible that valuations could ultimately fall to their “ultra cheap” levels, with P/E ratios around 10x earnings. However, it is more typical for bear markets to bottom around the median P/E levels of 16.0x.

Aug 04 2001

Tech Watch…..S&P Tech Subset Down 5% In July

  • Aug 4, 2001

Worse than expected Q2 earnings (losses) beat down the tech sector in July. The bad news just won’t end.