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Leadership Cycles

Jun 01 2004

Small vs. Large Cap Leadership...Small Cap Domination Also Getting Late In The Game

  • Jun 1, 2004

Still prefer the Small caps over Large caps, despite the fact that small caps are now selling at 1% premium relative to large caps, and that the small cap leadership phase is getting long in the tooth.

May 05 2004

Small Cap Leadership…..7th Inning, But Game Could Be Rained Out At Any Moment

  • May 5, 2004

Our equity exposure still overweight in small and mid cap stocks, but we expect the market is progressing to a state of parity.

Jul 04 2003

A Half-Time Report

  • Jul 4, 2003

Economy will pick up steam in the second half, sustaining the already in progress earnings recovery. Also, Cyclical rally targets and equity leadership going into the second half.

May 05 1999

Have Cyclicals Become the New Market Leaders?

  • May 5, 1999

There were unprecedented sudden and dramatic changes in market character in April. Have Cyclicals become the new market leaders? Is Value investing finally going to start paying off again? Is the extended period of small cap underperformance finally over?

Sep 05 1994

Why We Are Buying Big Cap Growth Stocks Now

  • Sep 5, 1994

Big cap growth stocks appear to be in the early stages of regaining leadership from the “tired” cyclicals and “overvalued” value stocks.

Aug 05 1994

In Search of Blue Chip Growth Stocks

  • Aug 5, 1994

Growth stocks have been out of favor over the past 3-4 year, but look poised to regain leadership over the next 6-12 months.

Nov 05 1991

What Seven Year Cycle?

  • Nov 5, 1991

While we currently believe small cap and secondary stocks will be superior performers in the foreseeable future, we have no idea how long this phase might last. Don't pay any attention to this seven year cycle hogwash.

Aug 05 1991

Making Up For June in July

  • Aug 5, 1991

In July, the stock and bond markets pretty much moved in lock step and recovered what June gave away. Secondary stocks did not as a class fare quite so well.

Dec 01 1990

Prospects: Gilt Edged Growth, Cyclicals and Value Stocks

  • Dec 1, 1990

If you have major positions in the select list of 1990 “Hero” stocks (those big growth names that are up on the year), when should you start trimming back (if ever)? When should you start looking at cyclicals (if ever)? When should you start looking at cheap value stocks (if ever)?