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Jan 07 2025
Estimating the Downside

Estimating the Downside - January 2025

  • Jan 7, 2025

The S&P 500 lost 2.5% in December but fared far better than both Mid- and Small-Cap Indexes (S&P 400 -7.3%; S&P 600 -8.1%). From today’s level, the S&P 500’s potential downside to its 1957-forward median is -43%.

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About The Author

Phil Segner / Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Phil Segner Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Phil is a Co-Portfolio Manager and Sr. Research Analyst at The Leuthold Group, LLC. He is a member of the asset allocation and investment committees and is a major contributor to the firm's research publications.

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