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Green Book August 1988

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Bond Market Summary

T-bonds went into a seven trading day swoon in early July. Then for the rest of the month they backed and filled. Outside the Treasury market, damage was considerably less in July.

Joke of the Month

This month's winner was sent by Bob Alder, Colorado Capital Advisors. Bob also sent along considerable information on the Social Security surplus. We plan to again address this joke as well, but not until next month.

Market Deterioration in July

The stock market in July was a dull listless affair....at least until the last two days of the month. However, at this point, even this rally has not been impressive. Not much breadth and not much conviction.

New Screens and a New Portfolio Sector

Stocks selected from the newly developed “Net Net Working Capital” screen are now viewed as a distinct equity model sector. Two other new screening disciplines were included in the August Quantitative Themes: “Historical Low P/E” and “Implied Growth”.

Scanning the Markets

Not many sectors beat the S&P 500 and DJIA in July. Secondary stocks lagged in the month end rally. For the month, only five of our indices registered gains. But there were not any very big losers either.

The Historical Relationship of Earnings Yields to Bond Yields

This is the third in a series of studies presenting historical relationships between stock market valuations and bond yields. In this issue, we examine the historical relationship of the bond yield and common stock earnings yield in terms of a ratio.

View from the North Country

Political Overreaction to the Drought...Grain Markets Reveal Improved Crop Expectations...Japanese Stock Market Update...DeBeers and South Africa

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