Volatility
Volatility Update...Reaching Extreme Levels
April was another volatile month. Of the 20 trading days, seven posted moves of 1% or more (35%).
Volatility Update
Volatility remains high in 1999.
Volatility Update...January Was Jumping
Nine out of 19 trading days in January (47%) ended with close to close moves of at least 1% in the S&P 500.
1998 Day To Day Volatility
In 1998, the S&P 500 on a close to close basis moved up 1% or more on 47 trading days and down 1% or more on 33 trading days. Combined, this represents almost 32% of the 252 trading days. In 1995, only 5.2% of the trading days experienced moves of 1% or more.
Volatility Update...Subsides Some in November
Volatility diminished in November after a very volatile month of October.
Volatility Update...Still Movin’ and Shakin’
October proved to be the most volatile month thus far in 1998.
Volatility update...Whole Lot of Shaking Going On
There is a whole lot of volatility in the market currently, more than investors have come to expect...42% of Q3 days were high volatility.
Day To Day Stock Market Volatility
Amazingly, nine of twenty one trading days in August were high volatility days (1% or greater move).
Day To Day Stock Market Volatility
July started with a bang, but wound up a dud.
Day To Day Stock Market Volatility
Volatility increased significantly in June compared to May: 32% of the trading days had moves of 1% or more.
Day To Day Stock Market Volatility
Only two of the twenty trading days in May closed with moves of 1% or more.
Worth Noting
Stock market volatility, U.S. savings rate, gold stocks, Y2K, the software engineer shortage and stock options.
Worth Noting
Steve’s thoughts on 1998 Stock Market Leadership, Volatility, Japan, Gold and Inflation.
1998 Day To Day Volatility: Just Like 1997...So Far
In January, the S&P 500, on a close to close basis moved up 1% or more on four trading days and down 1% or more on two trading days and down 1% or more on two trading days (January 9 was down 2.97%).
1997 Volatility Update
73 high volatility days YTD (31.6%). Highest volatility year since 1987 and matching 1982.
1997 Volatility: Wow!
Obviously 1997 to date has been a high volatility year. This degree of day to day volatility was last recorded in 1987.
Volatility Update
In September, 19% of the trading days qualified as high volatility days.
Volatility Update
In August, a very high 38% of the trading days qualified as high volatility days.
How Was Your Summer Holiday?
Major Trend Index faded to High Neutral in August, but will likely be propelled back to Positive by strong September 2nd market…Valuations still off the charts, but new valuation era looks like it’s still with us.
1997 Volatility: Update
In this year’s 147 trading days (through July 31) there have been 29 days with up moves of 1% or more. Four of those days were up over 2%.