NASDAQ
Volatility Update…..High S&P Volatility Continues In Early 2003
Volatility in the S&P was unusually high in 2002. And now in early 2003, it appears the S&P 500 is continuing to be extremely volatile.
Catching Up To The Guy Who Sold At The Market Top
Given various assumed compound rates of return, how long will it take for the investor who remained in stocks to catch the investor who shifted to T-bills at the top?
NASDAQ & NYSE Short Interest
NASDAQ ratio declines on increased volume. A new style this month gives the NYSE ratio more timely signals.
Answering Client Questions
Many of the questions in this month’s issue came from January client meetings in Texas.
Volatility Update…..S&P Volatility Highest Since 1938
YTD instances of High Volatility (50%) is still well above the 2000-2001 levels. It is, in fact, the highest volatility reading since 1938, and the fifth highest since 1900.
Steve The Technician
Last month, we had a request for technical readings on the major market indices. Being a long time card carrying member of the Market Technicians Association, I decided I should oblige.
Consumer Confidence & The NASDAQ…..Who Leads Who?
A closer look at the relationship between Consumer Confidence and the NASDAQ over the last three years.
Volatility Update…..Both S&P 500 And NASDAQ Very Volatile
October's reading the most volatile in the S&P 500 since 1938 and fifth highest over the entire history of this work.
Volatility Update…..A Wild Ride In July
S&P 500 High Volatility reading of 73% for the month is in line above the all time annual highs recorded in 1931-1933.
NASDAQ & NYSE Short Interest
NASDAQ record high short selling. NYSE moving to new highs.
Volatility Update…..Seems To Be On The Rise Of Late
Volatility is still running at a pace significantly less than in 2000 and 2001, but the recent acceleration is troubling.
NASDAQ & NYSE Short Interest
NASDAQ ratio was flat for May while the NYSE's showed a very strong positive.
Volatility Update…..May Was A Wild Month
Instances of High Volatility in May were unusually high for the S&P 500.
NASDAQ Short Interest
NASDAQ short interest ratio up in March.
Volatility Update
The NASDAQ volatility continues to slow but the S&P 500 was surprisingly volatile in July.
Performance From A Long Term Perspective
Don’t let the roller-coaster ride of the short term lead to abandonment of sound, long-term investment strategies. Despite 2000-2001 declines, stock market performance over the last ten years is still beating long-term, median equity returns.
Volatility Update...No Significant Signs Of Slowing Volatility Yet
So far in 2001, 62% of trading days qualify as Extreme Volatility compared to the historical norm of 4% since 1971.
NASDAQ Performance In Longer Term Perspective
How have sharp declines of the past year affected performance over longer time horizons?
Volatility Update...No Significant Signs Of Slowing Volatility Yet
In 2000, the NASDAQ was the most volatile it had ever been. However, in 2001, new standards are being set.
Bull Market Returns: Missing the Best/Worst Days
Is a market timing strategy superior to “buy and hold”? You can prove anything with numbers. Despite that, there does appear to be a supportive case for tactical asset allocation, or market timing.