Leadership
High P/E Stocks: Becoming A Safe Place To Hide?
Value continues to have leadership position over Growth among Large Cap stocks. Mid Caps also shifting to favor Value, but Growth still leading in the Small Cap tier.
Market Leaders Examined...The First Shall Become The Last
Stocks that had performed the best over the previous 11 month period got punished the worst in the declining market.
May's Market Action
“Sell in May, then go away” goes that old piece of Wall Street wisdom. Problem is, this year everybody seemed to sell in May, so going away doesn’t seem like such a good idea anymore.
Did You Have The Right Mix In 2005?
2005 Performance Recap: Equities, Fixed Income, Large Vs. Small Caps, Weighted Vs. Unweighted S&P 500, Industrial Metals and AdvantHedge.
Turning Japanese? A Look At The Rally In Japan Shares And How To Play The Turnaround
A look at the rally in Japan shares, and how to potentially play a turnaround.
Small Cap Breadth Deterioration…..A Transition To Large Cap Leadership?
Still think Small Caps have leadership position over Large Caps, but it is getting more difficult.
Leuthold Small Cap Leadership Model: Still Rated Slightly Positive
Small caps continue to be favored over large caps by our Small Cap Leadership Model, despite slightly lagging the large caps in January’s performance.
Large Cap Versus Small Cap
Small caps continue to be the market leaders over large caps. This trend is expected to continue into 2005, as our small cap leadership model has recently improved, and is now rated slightly positive.
Leuthold Small Cap Leadership Model: Improved, But Still Rated Neutral
Small cap stocks continue to be market leaders in November. Our small cap leadership model had a slight improvement, but is still neutral. On a valuation basis, small caps are no longer attractive, but they still look good on a momentum basis.
Leuthold Small Cap Leadership Model: Less Negative, But Still Rated Neutral
We have been proponents of Small Cap stocks since the beginning of the bear market. However, we may be approaching a transition to Large Cap leadership.
Leuthold Small Cap Leadership Model: Less Negative, But Still Rated Neutral
Small Caps were big winners in September, but our Small Cap/Large Cap leadership model is still neutral (despite a slight improvement in October). Transition to Large Cap leadership is likely in coming months, but momentum continues to favor Small Caps.
Leuthold Ten Factor Small Cap Leadership Model Update: Still Neutral
Small Cap stocks lagged Large Caps in July and August. Possibly getting close to a formal transition in which Large Caps take over the leadership role.
New Leuthold Ten Factor Small Cap Leadership Model
A matrix of factors to assess the relative attractiveness of Small Caps vs. Large Caps.
Small Cap Leadership…..7th Inning, But Game Could Be Rained Out At Any Moment
Our equity exposure still overweight in small and mid cap stocks, but we expect the market is progressing to a state of parity.
Bull Market: Part II
Bull Market Part II. Early 2004 correction seems over, rally appears to be developing
Reading The Tea Leaves The Stock Market One Year Ago...vs. Today
A comparison of today’s market conditions compared to one year ago. We look at valuations, sentiment, group leadership and Major Trend categories.
A Look In The Rearview Mirror
This month’s “Of Special Interest” presents a critical review of what we thought was the best of The Leuthold Group’s work in 2003 and what was the worst.
Turning The Corner
After a string of three consecutive down market years, the closing bell on the eve of the recent New Year put to bed the first annual gain for the U.S. stock market since 1999.
November Leadership
November correction we anticipated never materialized. December could be frosting on the cake as the last month of a very good stock market year.
Equity Group Leadership In 2003
Equity group leadership in 2003…..Top twenty group performance leaders have heavy tech concentration. Health Care also well represented.