ISM
Polar Vortex Hits The Markets Too
The stock market kicked off 2014 with a (so far) shallow bout of weakness which we don’t consider to be the start of a new cyclical bear market or even a deep correction.
Stocks And The Dismal Science
Has recent Fed experimentation compromised the stock market’s “social function” as an economic forecasting tool?
The Economy And Earnings
The YTD surge of 19% in the S&P 500 should ensure a stronger second half economy, and the big five-point jump in the latest Purchasing Managers Survey (ISM) might be the first evidence of this.
An Economic Buy Signal
Does a simple twist on the ISM Index produce an excellent stock market indicator?
The Late Cycle Economy?
With the new ISM figures for March, the Liquidity Index has moved into the maximum negative zone with a reading just below the bearish –20 threshold.
A “Late-Cycle” Economy?
Economic growth is re-accelerating, but that growth is coming at a cost…price pressures are building significantly. Manufacturing prices are up along with commodity prices.
How Investors Are Rewarding Management Decisions: A Global Perspective
There are four key decisions a company’s management has to make: Dividend Policy, External Financing, Capital Expenditure (Capex), and Research & Development (R&D). We studied how the market rewards each of these management decisions.