Information Technology
Factor Behavior Differs By Market Cap
Growth has performed much better among large caps than small caps, resulting in higher relative valuations for large caps. Based on factor valuations, we think value provides a more attractive large-cap entry point, while growth looks more attractive within small caps.
Weight Watcher Update—Still Like Value Sectors
While the valuation gap between Growth and Value sectors was compelling just a couple of years ago, it has closed drastically the last twelve months. Our analysis shows that Value sectors (Energy, Industrials) are still more favorable than Growth sectors (IT, Health Care).
Industry Returns: The Decade’s Winners & Losers
This “decade in review” edition examines the performance of sectors and industries, looking at the best and worst groups to reveal the stories they have to tell.
Sector Rankings; Attractive & Unattractively-Rated Industry Groups
The top-three-rated sectors are Communication Services, Information Technology, and Financials. As recently as March, Financials ranked in 9th place out of 11 sectors; it has now placed among the top four since May. Real Estate dropped out of the top three after a two-month visit and is situated in 5th place this round. For the fifth consecutive month, the three lowest-ranked sectors are Utilities, Materials, and Energy.
Sector Rankings
The top-three-rated sectors are Information Technology, Real Estate, and Financials.
Information Technology Sector Now Highest Rated
For the first time since late 2017, Information Technology moved into the top-rated spot. This sector has historically produced especially strong results during periods after which it took over the #1 seat.
Altitudes Are Too High— And Attitudes Are Getting There
An important feature of this bull market—and a reason for its longevity—is the slow recovery in investor attitudes relative to valuation altitudes...
Two Sector Picks For The Home Stretch
With the Major Trend Index positive and the market about to enter the seasonally most bullish part of the calendar, we’ll offer both a trendy sector and a contrarian one for allocators looking to cap off an already good year. Specifically, we’d recommend heavy exposure to both the Information Technology and Financial sectors, which rate #3 and #1 in the October Group Selection (GS) framework.
A “Measured” Melt-Up
The stock market “melt up” scenario is underway but has proven less broad than we expected. Just as in the late-1990s, Technology and NASDAQ are the main subjects of investor adulation.
Old School Tech Flies High; Semi Equipment Revisited
Although the glamorous Tech giants have captured investors’ attention of late, from our perspective, the old school, physical Semiconductor plays hold the greatest appeal.
Technology: Popping The “Bubble” Talk
The S&P 500 eclipsed the “Twin Peaks” (2000 and 2007 highs) in 2013, and two years later the NASDAQ topped its 2000 high.
Info Tech, Financials, Health Care—Remain Top Three Rated Sectors
Among the bottom ranked sectors are Utilities, Materials, Energy, and Telecom Services. These four sectors have been the bottom four rated sectors for a minimum of eight months.
Tech In The Pole Position
The S&P 500 Information Technology sector has just broken out to a 15-year relative strength high, and it jumped two spots to the top scoring broad sector position. The breakout in Tech provides a rare example in which foreign market action presaged a major domestic move.
Return Of The Tech? New Group Purchased
Over the past three months the Tech sector has strengthened in our work, as it’s risen back to the #3 position. In line with our disciplines, we increased the Select Industries Portfolio’s Tech exposure via the addition of a new, high-ranking group: Technology Distributors.
Info Tech Sliding
IT’s overall sector rank has been falling recently. Growth has slowed, which has prompted downward earnings revisions, while valuation ratios have remained steady or gotten pricier.
Tech Poised To Outperform!
Our GS Scores currently rank Information Technology as the second highest rated among the ten broad sectors.
U.S. IT Companies’ Global Dominance
A look at U.S. companies’ global IT market dominance, and the key factors that drive the competitive landscape.
“Old Tech” Profiting From Explosion Of “New Tech” Content?
We identify the “Old Tech” players that will likely reap the benefits from the ever-growing volume of data being generated, stored, and transmitted on line.
Late March Reversal… And The First Shall Be Last
We examine the impact of March’s strong group leadership reversal on the top and bottom of our group model.
Profit Margins At The Sector Level
All ten of the S&P 500 sectors recorded a sequential increase in four-quarter trailing net profit margins. But consider where sector margins stand today relative to their 25-year medians. Eight of ten S&P 500 sectors are recording profit margins well above their long-term medians.