Financials

An examination of Financial groups with respect to insider selling/buying. At the extremes, this tool (which is employed in our GS Scores) works pretty well.

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Conventional wisdom states that inverted yield curves are bad for Financial groups. Doug Ramsey looks at the history of past inversions.

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Derivative exposure among U.S. commercial banks continues to proliferate at alarming levels.

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Making first Financial sector purchase since 2001, buying Life & Health Insurance. On a  selected basis, there are pockets of attractive Financial groups, but we still advise being underweight this sector.

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REITs and Financials still unattractive despite retreating in April. Financial sector weight in S&P 500 still too high given the interest rate climate.

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This month’s “Of Special Interest” presents a critical review of what we thought was the best of The Leuthold Group’s work in 2003 and what was the worst.

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A look at why our very overweight Healthcare position and zero weight in Financials has not hurt our performance this year.

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Expect the S&P 500 financial weighting to fall to 14% or so over the next two years, as they underperform the overall S&P 500 index.

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We think it is inadvisable to make a positive sector bet.

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BROAD SECTOR PERCENTAGE BREAKDOWN BY 3000 STOCK UNIVERSE

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Most of last month’s questions have been addressed in other sections of this month’s publication, but here are some ‘‘leftovers”.

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