Domestic Groups

This month’s “Of Special Interest” study presents a handful of factors that explain why life for active managers has been much more difficult in 2006.

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We initiated a new position in the Tobacco group, which is currently exhibiting strength across all categories of the GS Scores

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Sentiment measures still show pessimism among investors. Doug Ramsey looks at the current sentiment gauges for the market and also examines the current sentiment readings for 24 broad industries groups.

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Many stocks had outperformed in October and were retained in the Select Industries Portfolio, but there were enough sales to build new holding in Reinsurance.

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The stock market’s turbocharged advance continued into October, putting YTD performance for the majority of broad market indexes into the double-digits.

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While we currently favor little to no allocation to Consumer stocks, we realize that many clients must maintain a substantial weight in the Consumer Discretionary sector. For those clients, we are proposing a new thematic stock market group this month: The Strapped Consumer.

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Perhaps if you were living in some obscure quarter of the Amazon jungle for the last month, you may not have heard the news that the Dow Jones Industrials Average was approaching and finally achieved a new all-time high in late-September and early October.

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Proceeds from the sales of the Rails were used to establish a new 8.1% position in “Deep Value” stocks.

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We have been taking the opportunity each month to highlight a portion of our groups’ insider buying and selling scores. This month, we are presenting the groups with the best insider scores.

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S&P 500 is now within striking distance of hitting new cyclical highs.

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In prior issues, we have presented those equity groups that had been displaying the best readings in terms of insider selling/buying. Several clients have expressed an interest in seeing those groups with the most significant levels of insider selling. The following table presents the ten groups with the most pervasive insider selling.

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In July, weakness early in the month later transitioned into a comeback rally of sorts for the major stock market indexes.

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During the last few months, we have been looking at the Insider Selling and Buying among various broad sectors and have also recently been presenting those specific equity industry groups that currently have the best scores based on the insider patterns of selling and buying.

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For the first time since the market low in March 2003, many investors got a chance to remember what a good old fashioned correction felt like.

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During the last few months, we have been looking at the Insider Selling and Buying among various broad sectors and last month decided to present those specific equity industry groups that currently have the best scores based on the insider patterns of selling and buying.

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“Sell in May, then go away” goes that old piece of Wall Street wisdom. Problem is, this year everybody seemed to sell in May, so going away doesn’t seem like such a good idea anymore.

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Best looking groups based on current Insider Buying Selling patterns include: Gas Utilities, Aluminum, Brewers and Auto Manufacturers.

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In our most recent update of our defensive group work, we examined industry group performance within the last four bear market cycles in order to determine which groups delivered consistent leadership.

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The big stories driving the day to day market action in April continued to be (in no particular order) the future of Fed policy, oil prices, the economy, and escalating tensions with Iran. However, despite the various uncertainties and vagaries regarding the aforementioned, many stock market indexes hit cyclical bull market highs during the month.

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Stocks continued to move higher in the first quarter, with many of the broad market indexes finishing out Q1 near their cyclical highs.

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