ACR

S&P performance gets “tech-less”. Tech stocks have only added 4% to YTD S&P performance and only 11% since 1970.

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Our studies suggest we still have some further regression before returning to median returns. Looking out to a 3-5 year horizon, we expect equity returns to lag historical averages as returns regress further toward normal long term (10 year) performance.

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Time for an attitude adjustment? We have seen some fat returns on long fixed income securities since rates peaked in 1981. What can we expect from bonds in the future? To help answer this question we look at three sample bonds using a 5 and 10 year risk/reward framework.

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A few months ago John Lillard, President of JMB Institutional Realty, had a great idea for us. One of John's suggestions was that we compile histograms of past stock market performance to help put the recent outstanding stock market performance in better perspective. Yes, some of our best ideas come from clients.

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